CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS
- Depending on the duration, timing and frequency of the meteorological drought more or less severe agricultural or hydrological droughts will originate with impacts on economy, society and environment.
- Accelerated hydrological cycle will result in more extreme and more frequent drought events.
- Sea level rise will increase water quality issues (brackish water).
- Drought is underestimated important impact of climate change, but awareness is rising.
GCF AMBITIONS ON DROUGHT MANAGEMENT
- Pro-active instead of re-active.
- Accelerated hydrological cycle will result in more extreme and more frequent drought events.
- Promote the establishment of forecasting and warning systems that focus on impacts and risks to raise risk resilience of communities.
- Promote nature-based solutions for reduction of droughts .
DEVELOPING A DROUGHT MANAGEMENT PROJECT
Climate Science base
- Information on historical analysis of drought hazard and impact
- Extend with predictions on how climate change might influence the probabilities involved.
Analytical tools
- Hydrological and water balances modelling, incl. the probability of the drought conditions (hazards) and water shortages.
- Sector or Impact models, that indicate these drought conditions have on the users (exposure and vulnerability)
- Drought mapping
Measures to be considered
- Integrated approach considering all pillars of the drought risk cascade.
- Prioritizing and balancing different water uses (IWRM) based upon sound drought risk information
- Installing flexible governance mechanisms and payment for ecosystem services (water pricing, public tax)
- Insurance mechanisms that cover residual risks
- Early warning systems